Generalized Exponential smoothing in prediction of hierarchical time series
- AI4TS

Abstract
Shang and Hyndman (2016) proposed grouped functional time series forecasting approach as a combination of individual forecasts using generalized least squares regression. We modify their methodology using generalized exponential smoothing technique for the most disaggregated series in order to obtain more robust predictor. We show some properties of our proposals using simulations and real data related to electricity demand prediction.
View on arXivComments on this paper