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Learning Bayes' theorem with a neural network for gravitational-wave inference

Abstract

We wish to achieve the Holy Grail of Bayesian inference with deep-learning techniques: training a neural network to instantly produce the posterior p(θD)p(\theta|D) for the parameters θ\theta, given the data DD. In the setting of gravitational-wave astronomy, we have access to a generative model for signals in noisy data (i.e., we can instantiate the prior p(θ)p(\theta) and likelihood p(Dθ)p(D|\theta)), but are unable to economically compute the posterior for even a single realization of DD. Here we demonstrate how a network may be taught to estimate p(θD)p(\theta|D) regardless, by simply showing it numerous realizations of DD.

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