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Minimax rate of estimation for invariant densities associated to continuous stochastic differential equations over anisotropic Holder classes

6 October 2021
Chiara Amorino
A. Gloter
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

We study the problem of the nonparametric estimation for the density π\piπ of the stationary distribution of a ddd-dimensional stochastic differential equation (Xt)t∈[0,T](X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}(Xt​)t∈[0,T]​. From the continuous observation of the sampling path on [0,T][0, T][0,T], we study the estimation of π(x)\pi(x)π(x) as TTT goes to infinity. For d≥2d\ge2d≥2, we characterize the minimax rate for the L2\mathbf{L}^2L2-risk in pointwise estimation over a class of anisotropic H\"older functions π\piπ with regularity β=(β1,...,βd)\beta = (\beta_1, ... , \beta_d)β=(β1​,...,βd​). For d≥3d \ge 3d≥3, our finding is that, having ordered the smoothness such that β1≤...≤βd\beta_1 \le ... \le \beta_dβ1​≤...≤βd​, the minimax rate depends on whether β2<β3\beta_2 < \beta_3β2​<β3​ or β2=β3\beta_2 = \beta_3β2​=β3​. In the first case, this rate is (log⁡TT)γ(\frac{\log T}{T})^\gamma(TlogT​)γ, and in the second case, it is (1T)γ(\frac{1}{T})^\gamma(T1​)γ, where γ\gammaγ is an explicit exponent dependent on the dimension and βˉ3\bar{\beta}_3βˉ​3​, the harmonic mean of smoothness over the ddd directions after excluding β1\beta_1β1​ and β2\beta_2β2​, the smallest ones. We also demonstrate that kernel-based estimators achieve the optimal minimax rate. Furthermore, we propose an adaptive procedure for both L2L^2L2 integrated and pointwise risk. In the two-dimensional case, we show that kernel density estimators achieve the rate log⁡TT\frac{\log T}{T}TlogT​, which is optimal in the minimax sense. Finally we illustrate the validity of our theoretical findings by proposing numerical results.

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