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Minimax rate of estimation for invariant densities associated to continuous stochastic differential equations over anisotropic Holder classes

Abstract

We study the problem of the nonparametric estimation for the density π\pi of the stationary distribution of a dd-dimensional stochastic differential equation (Xt)t[0,T](X_t)_{t \in [0, T]} with possibly unbounded drift. From the continuous observation of the sampling path on [0,T][0, T], we study the rate of estimation of π(x)\pi(x) as TT goes to infinity. One finding is that, for d3d \ge 3, the rate of estimation depends on the smoothness β=(β1,...,βd)\beta = (\beta_1, ... , \beta_d) of π\pi. In particular, having ordered the smoothness such that β1...βd\beta_1 \le ... \le \beta_d, it depends on the fact that β2<β3\beta_2 < \beta_3 or β2=β3\beta_2 = \beta_3. We show that kernel density estimators achieve the rate (logTT)γ(\frac{\log T}{T})^\gamma in the first case and (1T)γ(\frac{1}{T})^\gamma in the second, for an explicit exponent γ\gamma depending on the dimension and on βˉ3\bar{\beta}_3, the harmonic mean of the smoothness over the dd directions after having removed β1\beta_1 and β2\beta_2, the smallest ones. Moreover, we obtain a minimax lower bound on the L2\mathbf{L}^2-risk for the pointwise estimation with the same rates (logTT)γ(\frac{\log T}{T})^\gamma or (1T)γ(\frac{1}{T})^\gamma, depending on the value of β2\beta_2 and β3\beta_3.

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