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Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?

Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?

6 June 2024
Sarah Pratt
Seth Blumberg
Pietro K. Carolino
Meredith Ringel Morris
    ELM
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?"

5 / 5 papers shown
Title
PROPHET: An Inferable Future Forecasting Benchmark with Causal Intervened Likelihood Estimation
PROPHET: An Inferable Future Forecasting Benchmark with Causal Intervened Likelihood Estimation
Zhengwei Tao
Zhi Jin
Bincheng Li
Xiaoying Bai
Haiyan Zhao
Chengfeng Dou
Xiancai Chen
Jia Li♂
Linyu Li
Chongyang Tao
AI4TS
32
0
0
02 Apr 2025
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
Ezra Karger
Houtan Bastani
Chen Yueh-Han
Zachary Jacobs
Danny Halawi
Fred Zhang
P. Tetlock
30
6
0
30 Sep 2024
Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting
Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting
Elvis Hsieh
Preston Fu
Jonathan Chen
ReLM
LLMAG
LRM
23
1
0
21 Aug 2024
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
Danny Halawi
Fred Zhang
Chen Yueh-Han
Jacob Steinhardt
39
14
0
28 Feb 2024
Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models
Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models
Jason W. Wei
Xuezhi Wang
Dale Schuurmans
Maarten Bosma
Brian Ichter
F. Xia
Ed H. Chi
Quoc Le
Denny Zhou
LM&Ro
LRM
AI4CE
ReLM
315
8,261
0
28 Jan 2022
1