ResearchTrend.AI
  • Communities
  • Connect sessions
  • AI calendar
  • Organizations
  • Join Slack
  • Contact Sales
Papers
Communities
Social Events
Terms and Conditions
Pricing
Contact Sales
Parameter LabParameter LabTwitterGitHubLinkedInBlueskyYoutube

© 2025 ResearchTrend.AI, All rights reserved.

  1. Home
  2. Papers
  3. 2503.03178
127
3

Active operator learning with predictive uncertainty quantification for partial differential equations

5 March 2025
Nick Winovich
Mitchell Daneker
Lu Lu
Guang Lin
    UQCVUD
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML
Abstract

In this work, we develop a method for uncertainty quantification in deep operator networks (DeepONets) using predictive uncertainty estimates calibrated to model errors observed during training. The uncertainty framework operates using a single network, in contrast to existing ensemble approaches, and introduces minimal overhead during training and inference. We also introduce an optimized implementation for DeepONet inference (reducing evaluation times by a factor of five) to provide models well-suited for real-time applications. We evaluate the uncertainty-equipped models on a series of partial differential equation (PDE) problems, and show that the model predictions are unbiased, non-skewed, and accurately reproduce solutions to the PDEs. To assess how well the models generalize, we evaluate the network predictions and uncertainty estimates on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test datasets. We find the predictive uncertainties accurately reflect the observed model errors over a range of problems with varying complexity; simpler out-of-distribution examples are assigned low uncertainty estimates, consistent with the observed errors, while more complex out-of-distribution examples are properly assigned higher uncertainties. We also provide a statistical analysis of the predictive uncertainties and verify that these estimates are well-aligned with the observed error distributions at the tail-end of training. Finally, we demonstrate how predictive uncertainties can be used within an active learning framework to yield improvements in accuracy and data-efficiency for outer-loop optimization procedures.

View on arXiv
Main:20 Pages
12 Figures
Bibliography:3 Pages
3 Tables
Comments on this paper