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Dynamics of Bayesian Updating with Dependent Data and Misspecified
  Models
v1v2v3v4v5 (latest)

Dynamics of Bayesian Updating with Dependent Data and Misspecified Models

11 January 2009
C. Shalizi
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTML

Papers citing "Dynamics of Bayesian Updating with Dependent Data and Misspecified Models"

36 / 36 papers shown
Rates of Convergence of Generalised Variational Inference Posteriors under Prior Misspecification
Rates of Convergence of Generalised Variational Inference Posteriors under Prior Misspecification
Terje Mildner
Paris Giampouras
Theodoros Damoulas
172
0
0
03 Oct 2025
The Price equation reveals a universal force-metric-bias law of algorithmic learning and natural selection
The Price equation reveals a universal force-metric-bias law of algorithmic learning and natural selection
Steven A. Frank
FedML
497
3
0
24 Jul 2025
Sequential Monte Carlo approximations of Wasserstein--Fisher--Rao gradient flows
Sequential Monte Carlo approximations of Wasserstein--Fisher--Rao gradient flows
Francesca R. Crucinio
Sahani Pathiraja
321
4
0
06 Jun 2025
The Evolution theory of Learning: From Natural Selection to
  Reinforcement Learning
The Evolution theory of Learning: From Natural Selection to Reinforcement Learning
Taboubi Ahmed
198
1
0
16 Jun 2023
Deep Bootstrap for Bayesian Inference
Deep Bootstrap for Bayesian Inference
Lizhen Nie
Veronika Rockova
UQCVBDL
352
8
0
30 May 2022
Characterizing the robustness of Bayesian adaptive experimental designs
  to active learning bias
Characterizing the robustness of Bayesian adaptive experimental designs to active learning bias
Sabina J. Sloman
Daniel M. Oppenheimer
S. Broomell
C. Shalizi
273
11
0
27 May 2022
Evaluating Posterior Distributions by Selectively Breeding Prior Samples
Evaluating Posterior Distributions by Selectively Breeding Prior Samples
C. Shalizi
242
0
0
17 Mar 2022
Large Deviation Asymptotics and Bayesian Posterior Consistency on
  Stochastic Processes and Dynamical Systems
Large Deviation Asymptotics and Bayesian Posterior Consistency on Stochastic Processes and Dynamical Systems
Langxuan Su
Sayan Mukherjee
249
0
0
13 Jun 2021
Posterior consistency for the spectral density of non-Gaussian
  stationary time series
Posterior consistency for the spectral density of non-Gaussian stationary time seriesScandinavian Journal of Statistics (Scand. J. Stat.), 2021
Yifu Tang
Claudia Kirch
J. Lee
R. Meyer
402
2
0
01 Mar 2021
Gibbs posterior concentration rates under sub-exponential type losses
Gibbs posterior concentration rates under sub-exponential type losses
Nicholas Syring
Ryan Martin
678
36
0
08 Dec 2020
A Bayesian Multiple Testing Paradigm for Model Selection in Inverse
  Regression Problems
A Bayesian Multiple Testing Paradigm for Model Selection in Inverse Regression Problems
D. Chatterjee
S. Bhattacharya
153
1
0
15 Jul 2020
Convergence of Pseudo-Bayes Factors in Forward and Inverse Regression
  Problems
Convergence of Pseudo-Bayes Factors in Forward and Inverse Regression Problems
D. Chatterjee
S. Bhattacharya
190
1
0
10 Jun 2020
Posterior Consistency of Bayesian Inverse Regression and Inverse
  Reference Distributions
Posterior Consistency of Bayesian Inverse Regression and Inverse Reference Distributions
D. Chatterjee
S. Bhattacharya
229
2
0
01 May 2020
Posterior Convergence of Nonparametric Binary and Poisson Regression
  Under Possible Misspecifications
Posterior Convergence of Nonparametric Binary and Poisson Regression Under Possible Misspecifications
D. Chatterjee
S. Bhattacharya
141
2
0
01 May 2020
High-dimensional Asymptotic Theory of Bayesian Multiple Testing
  Procedures Under General Dependent Setup and Possible Misspecification
High-dimensional Asymptotic Theory of Bayesian Multiple Testing Procedures Under General Dependent Setup and Possible Misspecification
N. K. Chandra
S. Bhattacharya
199
2
0
30 Apr 2020
Gibbs posterior convergence and the thermodynamic formalism
Gibbs posterior convergence and the thermodynamic formalism
K. Mcgoff
S. Mukherjee
A. Nobel
321
10
0
24 Jan 2019
Posterior Convergence of Gaussian and General Stochastic Process
  Regression Under Possible Misspecifications
Posterior Convergence of Gaussian and General Stochastic Process Regression Under Possible Misspecifications
D. Chatterjee
S. Bhattacharya
449
3
0
24 Oct 2018
General Robust Bayes Pseudo-Posterior: Exponential Convergence results
  with Applications
General Robust Bayes Pseudo-Posterior: Exponential Convergence results with Applications
A. Ghosh
Tuhin Majumder
A. Basu
367
10
0
31 Aug 2017
Experimental Design for Non-Parametric Correction of Misspecified
  Dynamical Models
Experimental Design for Non-Parametric Correction of Misspecified Dynamical Models
Gal Shulkind
L. Horesh
H. Avron
356
16
0
02 May 2017
A Short Note on Almost Sure Convergence of Bayes Factors in the General
  Set-Up
A Short Note on Almost Sure Convergence of Bayes Factors in the General Set-Up
D. Chatterjee
Trisha Maitra
S. Bhattacharya
603
17
0
15 Mar 2017
Asymptotic Theory of Dependent Bayesian Multiple Testing Procedures
  Under Possible Model Misspecification
Asymptotic Theory of Dependent Bayesian Multiple Testing Procedures Under Possible Model Misspecification
N. K. Chandra
S. Bhattacharya
381
5
0
04 Nov 2016
Inference Compilation and Universal Probabilistic Programming
Inference Compilation and Universal Probabilistic Programming
T. Le
A. G. Baydin
Frank Wood
UQCV
559
147
0
31 Oct 2016
Bayes factor consistency
Bayes factor consistency
S. Chib
Todd A. Kuffner
326
28
0
01 Jul 2016
On Classical and Bayesian Asymptotics in State Space Stochastic
  Differential Equations
On Classical and Bayesian Asymptotics in State Space Stochastic Differential EquationsBrazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics (JBPS), 2015
Trisha Maitra
S. Bhattacharya
326
2
0
22 Jul 2015
Inconsistency of Bayesian Inference for Misspecified Linear Models, and
  a Proposal for Repairing It
Inconsistency of Bayesian Inference for Misspecified Linear Models, and a Proposal for Repairing It
Peter Grünwald
T. V. Ommen
609
290
0
11 Dec 2014
Posterior consistency in misspecified models for i.n.i.d response
Posterior consistency in misspecified models for i.n.i.d response
Karthik Sriram
R. Ramamoorthi
225
1
0
26 Aug 2014
On Posterior Concentration in Misspecified Models
On Posterior Concentration in Misspecified Models
R. Ramamoorthi
Karthik Sriram
Ryan Martin
381
40
0
17 Dec 2013
On the Brittleness of Bayesian Inference
On the Brittleness of Bayesian InferenceSIAM Review (SIAM Rev.), 2013
H. Owhadi
C. Scovel
T. Sullivan
637
72
0
28 Aug 2013
Consistency of maximum likelihood estimation for some dynamical systems
Consistency of maximum likelihood estimation for some dynamical systems
K. Mcgoff
S. Mukherjee
A. Nobel
Natesh Pillai
323
19
0
24 Jun 2013
Generalized Thompson Sampling for Sequential Decision-Making and Causal
  Inference
Generalized Thompson Sampling for Sequential Decision-Making and Causal InferenceComplex Adaptive Systems Modeling (CASM), 2013
Pedro A. Ortega
Daniel A. Braun
CML
396
53
0
18 Mar 2013
Nonparametric risk bounds for time-series forecasting
Nonparametric risk bounds for time-series forecasting
D. McDonald
C. Shalizi
M. Schervish
AI4TS
528
29
0
03 Dec 2012
On convergence rates of Bayesian predictive densities and posterior
  distributions
On convergence rates of Bayesian predictive densities and posterior distributions
Ryan Martin
Liang Hong
307
5
0
29 Sep 2012
Thermodynamics as a theory of decision-making with information
  processing costs
Thermodynamics as a theory of decision-making with information processing costsProceedings of the Royal Society A (Proc. R. Soc. A), 2012
Pedro A. Ortega
Daniel A. Braun
372
296
0
29 Apr 2012
Statistical inference for dynamical systems: a review
Statistical inference for dynamical systems: a review
K. Mcgoff
S. Mukherjee
Natesh S. Pillai
AI4CE
350
50
0
27 Apr 2012
Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics
Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics
Andrew Gelman
C. Shalizi
734
692
0
19 Jun 2010
Sequential anomaly detection in the presence of noise and limited
  feedback
Sequential anomaly detection in the presence of noise and limited feedback
Maxim Raginsky
Rebecca Willett
Corinne Horn
Jorge G. Silva
Roummel F. Marcia
530
66
0
15 Nov 2009
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