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Exact and Robust Conformal Inference Methods for Predictive Machine Learning With Dependent Data

17 February 2018

Papers citing "Exact and Robust Conformal Inference Methods for Predictive Machine Learning With Dependent Data"

50 / 51 papers shown

Title
JAPAN: Joint Adaptive Prediction Areas with Normalising-Flows Eshant English Christoph Lippert 48 0 0 29 May 2025
STACI: Spatio-Temporal Aleatoric Conformal Inference Brandon Feng David K. Park Xihaier Luo Arantxa Urdangarin Shinjae Yoo Brian J. Reich 29 0 0 27 May 2025
Synthetic-Powered Predictive Inference Meshi Bashari Roy Maor Lotan Yonghoon Lee Edgar Dobriban Yaniv Romano 121 0 0 19 May 2025
Multivariate Conformal Prediction using Optimal Transport Michal Klein Louis Béthune Eugène Ndiaye Marco Cuturi OT 223 3 0 05 Feb 2025
From Uncertain to Safe: Conformal Fine-Tuning of Diffusion Models for Safe PDE Control Tailin Wu Xiaowei Qian Wenhao Deng Rui Wang Haodong Feng ... Tao Zhang Long Wei Yue Wang Zhi-Ming Ma Tailin Wu AI4CE 195 0 0 04 Feb 2025
Conformal Predictive Portfolio Selection Masahiro Kato 147 0 0 19 Oct 2024
Conformal Prediction: A Data Perspective Xiaofan Zhou Baiting Chen Yu Gui Lu Cheng 1.0K 5 0 09 Oct 2024
JANET: Joint Adaptive predictioN-region Estimation for Time-series Eshant English Eliot Wong-Toi Matteo Fontana Stephan Mandt Padhraic Smyth Christoph Lippert AI4TS 249 2 0 08 Jul 2024
Single Trajectory Conformal Prediction Brian Lee Nikolai Matni 214 2 0 03 Jun 2024
Conformal Prediction for Natural Language Processing: A Survey Margarida M. Campos António Farinhas Chrysoula Zerva Mário A. T. Figueiredo André F. T. Martins AI4CE 266 18 0 03 May 2024
Predictive Inference in Multi-environment Scenarios John C. Duchi Suyash Gupta Kuanhao Jiang Pragya Sur 66 6 0 25 Mar 2024
Bellman Conformal Inference: Calibrating Prediction Intervals For Time Series Zitong Yang Emmanuel Candès Lihua Lei AI4TS 195 10 0 07 Feb 2024
Online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos Rina Foygel Barber Stephen Bates 235 27 0 02 Feb 2024
Towards Modeling Uncertainties of Self-explaining Neural Networks via Conformal Prediction Wei Qian Chenxu Zhao Yangyi Li Fenglong Ma Chao Zhang Mengdi Huai UQCV 89 5 0 03 Jan 2024
SymmPI: Predictive Inference for Data with Group Symmetries Yan Sun Mengxin Yu 112 2 0 26 Dec 2023
From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling with Hemisphere Neural Networks Philippe Goulet Coulombe Mikael Frenette Karin Klieber 56 3 0 27 Nov 2023
Sparse Deep Learning for Time Series Data: Theory and Applications Mingxuan Zhang Y. Sun Faming Liang AI4TS OOD BDL 81 2 0 05 Oct 2023
Non-Exchangeable Conformal Risk Control António Farinhas Chrysoula Zerva Dennis Ulmer André F. T. Martins 201 10 0 02 Oct 2023
Conformal PID Control for Time Series Prediction Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos Emmanuel J. Candes Robert Tibshirani AI4TS 227 66 0 31 Jul 2023
Conformalization of Sparse Generalized Linear Models E. Guha Eugène Ndiaye X. Huo 92 3 0 11 Jul 2023
Efficient and Multiply Robust Risk Estimation under General Forms of Dataset Shift Hongxiang Qiu E. T. Tchetgen Yan Sun OOD 79 7 0 28 Jun 2023
On the Validity of Conformal Prediction for Network Data Under Non-Uniform Sampling Robert Lunde 134 5 0 12 Jun 2023
Design-based conformal prediction J. Wieczorek 56 2 0 02 Mar 2023
Conformal Prediction for Network-Assisted Regression Robert Lunde Elizaveta Levina Ji Zhu 105 16 0 20 Feb 2023
Improved Online Conformal Prediction via Strongly Adaptive Online Learning Aadyot Bhatnagar Haiquan Wang Caiming Xiong Yu Bai AI4TS 199 55 0 15 Feb 2023
Distribution-Free Finite-Sample Guarantees and Split Conformal Prediction Roel Hulsman 74 5 0 26 Oct 2022
Extending Conformal Prediction to Hidden Markov Models with Exact Validity via de Finetti's Theorem for Markov Chains Buddhika Nettasinghe S. Chatterjee R. Tipireddy M. Halappanavar 208 11 0 05 Oct 2022
Conformal Inference for Online Prediction with Arbitrary Distribution Shifts Isaac Gibbs Emmanuel Candès 215 91 0 17 Aug 2022
A general framework for multi-step ahead adaptive conformal heteroscedastic time series forecasting Martim Sousa Ana Maria Tomé José Manuel Moreira AI4TS 108 2 0 28 Jul 2022
Conformal Prediction Bands for Two-Dimensional Functional Time Series Niccolo Ajroldi Jacopo Diquigiovanni Matteo Fontana S. Vantini AI4TS 101 10 0 27 Jul 2022
Recommendation Systems with Distribution-Free Reliability Guarantees Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos K. Krauth Stephen Bates Yixin Wang Michael I. Jordan 152 13 0 04 Jul 2022
Practical Adversarial Multivalid Conformal Prediction Osbert Bastani Varun Gupta Christopher Jung Georgy Noarov Ramya Ramalingam Aaron Roth 210 56 0 02 Jun 2022
PAC-Wrap: Semi-Supervised PAC Anomaly Detection Shuo Li Xiayan Ji Yan Sun O. Sokolsky Insup Lee 80 14 0 22 May 2022
Achieving Risk Control in Online Learning Settings Shai Feldman Liran Ringel Stephen Bates Yaniv Romano 157 30 0 18 May 2022
Adaptive Conformal Predictions for Time Series Margaux Zaffran Hadrien Hendrikx Olivier Féron Y. Goude Julie Josse AI4TS 193 136 0 15 Feb 2022
Stable Conformal Prediction Sets Eugène Ndiaye 203 21 0 19 Dec 2021
Learn then Test: Calibrating Predictive Algorithms to Achieve Risk Control Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos Stephen Bates Emmanuel J. Candès Michael I. Jordan Lihua Lei 304 135 0 03 Oct 2021
A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos Stephen Bates OOD 276 625 0 15 Jul 2021
Valid prediction intervals for regression problems Nicolas Dewolf B. De Baets Willem Waegeman 171 46 0 01 Jul 2021
PAC Prediction Sets Under Covariate Shift Sangdon Park Yan Sun Insup Lee Osbert Bastani 102 43 0 17 Jun 2021
Conformal Uncertainty Sets for Robust Optimization Chancellor Johnstone Bruce A. Cox 179 35 0 31 May 2021
Root-finding Approaches for Computing Conformal Prediction Set Eugène Ndiaye Ichiro Takeuchi 83 10 0 14 Apr 2021
Online Multivalid Learning: Means, Moments, and Prediction Intervals Varun Gupta Christopher Jung Georgy Noarov Mallesh M. Pai Aaron Roth 107 44 0 05 Jan 2021
Do We Exploit all Information for Counterfactual Analysis? Benefits of Factor Models and Idiosyncratic Correction Jianqing Fan Ricardo P. Masini M. C. Medeiros 59 14 0 08 Nov 2020
Conformal prediction for time series Chen Xu Yao Xie AI4TS 153 37 0 18 Oct 2020
Certainty Equivalent Perception-Based Control Sarah Dean Benjamin Recht 86 28 0 27 Aug 2020
Robust Validation: Confident Predictions Even When Distributions Shift Maxime Cauchois Suyash Gupta Alnur Ali John C. Duchi OOD 140 98 0 10 Aug 2020
Conformal Prediction: a Unified Review of Theory and New Challenges Matteo Fontana Gianluca Zeni S. Vantini 197 132 0 16 May 2020
Exchangeability, Conformal Prediction, and Rank Tests Arun K. Kuchibhotla 194 49 0 13 May 2020
Efficient and minimal length parametric conformal prediction regions Daniel J. Eck Forrest W. Crawford MedIm 25 2 0 09 May 2019