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Accurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regression

Accurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regression

1 July 2018
Volodymyr Kuleshov
Nathan Fenner
Stefano Ermon
    BDL
    UQCV
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "Accurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regression"

50 / 140 papers shown
Title
Localization Meets Uncertainty: Uncertainty-Aware Multi-Modal Localization
Localization Meets Uncertainty: Uncertainty-Aware Multi-Modal Localization
Hye-Min Won
Jieun Lee
Jiyong Oh
EDL
61
0
0
10 Apr 2025
CARE: Confidence-Aware Regression Estimation of building density fine-tuning EO Foundation Models
CARE: Confidence-Aware Regression Estimation of building density fine-tuning EO Foundation Models
Nikolaos Dionelis
Jente Bosmans
Nicolas Longépé
71
0
0
19 Feb 2025
Zero-shot Model-based Reinforcement Learning using Large Language Models
Zero-shot Model-based Reinforcement Learning using Large Language Models
Abdelhakim Benechehab
Youssef Attia El Hili
Ambroise Odonnat
Oussama Zekri
Albert Thomas
Giuseppe Paolo
Maurizio Filippone
I. Redko
Balázs Kégl
OffRL
69
1
0
17 Feb 2025
Understanding the Capabilities and Limitations of Weak-to-Strong Generalization
Understanding the Capabilities and Limitations of Weak-to-Strong Generalization
Wei Yao
Wenkai Yang
Zhilin Wang
Yankai Lin
Yong Liu
ELM
107
1
0
03 Feb 2025
HopCast: Calibration of Autoregressive Dynamics Models
HopCast: Calibration of Autoregressive Dynamics Models
Muhammad Bilal Shahid
Cody H. Fleming
UQCV
45
0
0
27 Jan 2025
Implementing Trust in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Diagnosis with a Conformalized Uncertainty-Aware AI Framework in Whole-Slide Images
Xiaoge Zhang
Tao Wang
Chao Yan
Fedaa Najdawi
Kai Zhou
Yuan Ma
Yiu-ming Cheung
Bradley Malin
MedIm
42
0
0
03 Jan 2025
Variance-Aware Linear UCB with Deep Representation for Neural Contextual Bandits
Variance-Aware Linear UCB with Deep Representation for Neural Contextual Bandits
H. Bui
Enrique Mallada
Anqi Liu
111
0
0
08 Nov 2024
Spectral Representations for Accurate Causal Uncertainty Quantification
  with Gaussian Processes
Spectral Representations for Accurate Causal Uncertainty Quantification with Gaussian Processes
Hugh Dance
Peter Orbanz
Arthur Gretton
CML
34
1
0
18 Oct 2024
GETS: Ensemble Temperature Scaling for Calibration in Graph Neural Networks
GETS: Ensemble Temperature Scaling for Calibration in Graph Neural Networks
Dingyi Zhuang
Chonghe Jiang
Yunhan Zheng
Shenhao Wang
Jinhua Zhao
UQCV
39
0
0
12 Oct 2024
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Arbitrary Sequences
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Arbitrary Sequences
Charles Marx
Volodymyr Kuleshov
Stefano Ermon
AI4TS
41
1
0
27 Sep 2024
Positional Encoder Graph Quantile Neural Networks for Geographic Data
Positional Encoder Graph Quantile Neural Networks for Geographic Data
William E. R. de Amorim
Scott A. Sisson
Thaís Rodrigues
David J. Nott
G. S. Rodrigues
25
0
0
27 Sep 2024
SAUC: Sparsity-Aware Uncertainty Calibration for Spatiotemporal
  Prediction with Graph Neural Networks
SAUC: Sparsity-Aware Uncertainty Calibration for Spatiotemporal Prediction with Graph Neural Networks
Dingyi Zhuang
Yuheng Bu
Guang Wang
Shenhao Wang
Jinhua Zhao
BDL
37
1
0
13 Sep 2024
Multi-modal MRI Translation via Evidential Regression and Distribution Calibration
Multi-modal MRI Translation via Evidential Regression and Distribution Calibration
Jiyao Liu
Yuxin Li
Yuxin Li
Lihao Liu
Xin Gao
...
Yanzhou Su
Xuanyang Zhang
Junjun He
Ningsheng Xu
Xiahai Zhuang
MedIm
28
1
0
10 Jul 2024
Joint Segmentation and Image Reconstruction with Error Prediction in
  Photoacoustic Imaging using Deep Learning
Joint Segmentation and Image Reconstruction with Error Prediction in Photoacoustic Imaging using Deep Learning
Ruibo Shang
Geoffrey P. Luke
Matthew O'Donnell
UQCV
35
0
0
02 Jul 2024
Relaxed Quantile Regression: Prediction Intervals for Asymmetric Noise
Relaxed Quantile Regression: Prediction Intervals for Asymmetric Noise
T. Pouplin
Alan Jeffares
Nabeel Seedat
Mihaela van der Schaar
58
3
0
05 Jun 2024
NeoRL: Efficient Exploration for Nonepisodic RL
NeoRL: Efficient Exploration for Nonepisodic RL
Bhavya Sukhija
Lenart Treven
Florian Dorfler
Stelian Coros
Andreas Krause
OffRL
30
0
0
03 Jun 2024
Full Shot Predictions for the DIII-D Tokamak via Deep Recurrent Networks
Full Shot Predictions for the DIII-D Tokamak via Deep Recurrent Networks
I. Char
Youngseog Chung
J. Abbate
E. Kolemen
Jeff Schneider
46
4
0
18 Apr 2024
Personalized Federated Learning of Probabilistic Models: A PAC-Bayesian Approach
Personalized Federated Learning of Probabilistic Models: A PAC-Bayesian Approach
Mahrokh Ghoddousi Boroujeni
Andreas Krause
Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate
FedML
32
3
0
16 Jan 2024
Class Uncertainty: A Measure to Mitigate Class Imbalance
Class Uncertainty: A Measure to Mitigate Class Imbalance
Z. S. Baltaci
K. Oksuz
S. Kuzucu
K. Tezoren
B. K. Konar
A. Ozkan
Emre Akbas
Sinan Kalkan
82
2
0
23 Nov 2023
Tailoring Mixup to Data for Calibration
Tailoring Mixup to Data for Calibration
Quentin Bouniot
Pavlo Mozharovskyi
Florence dÁlché-Buc
61
1
0
02 Nov 2023
Calibration by Distribution Matching: Trainable Kernel Calibration
  Metrics
Calibration by Distribution Matching: Trainable Kernel Calibration Metrics
Charles Marx
Sofian Zalouk
Stefano Ermon
27
6
0
31 Oct 2023
When Rigidity Hurts: Soft Consistency Regularization for Probabilistic Hierarchical Time Series Forecasting
Harshavardhan Kamarthi
Lingkai Kong
Alexander Rodríguez
Chao Zhang
B. Prakash
AI4TS
33
5
0
17 Oct 2023
Robust Uncertainty Estimation for Classification of Maritime Objects
Robust Uncertainty Estimation for Classification of Maritime Objects
J. Becktor
Frederik E. T. Schöller
Evangelos Boukas
Lazaros Nalpantidis
UQCV
OOD
42
2
0
03 Jul 2023
Towards Building Self-Aware Object Detectors via Reliable Uncertainty
  Quantification and Calibration
Towards Building Self-Aware Object Detectors via Reliable Uncertainty Quantification and Calibration
Kemal Oksuz
Thomas Joy
P. Dokania
UQCV
20
16
0
03 Jul 2023
A Comprehensive Modeling Approach for Crop Yield Forecasts using
  AI-based Methods and Crop Simulation Models
A Comprehensive Modeling Approach for Crop Yield Forecasts using AI-based Methods and Crop Simulation Models
R. L. F. Cunha
B. Silva
Priscilla Avegliano
17
0
0
16 Jun 2023
Overcoming the Limitations of Localization Uncertainty: Efficient &
  Exact Non-Linear Post-Processing and Calibration
Overcoming the Limitations of Localization Uncertainty: Efficient & Exact Non-Linear Post-Processing and Calibration
Moussa Kassem Sbeyti
Michelle Karg
Christian Wirth
Azarm Nowzad
S. Albayrak
22
3
0
15 Jun 2023
Probabilistic Learning of Multivariate Time Series with Temporal Irregularity
Probabilistic Learning of Multivariate Time Series with Temporal Irregularity
Yijun Li
Cheuk Hang Leung
Qi Wu
AI4TS
21
1
0
15 Jun 2023
Stratification of uncertainties recalibrated by isotonic regression and
  its impact on calibration error statistics
Stratification of uncertainties recalibrated by isotonic regression and its impact on calibration error statistics
P. Pernot
14
4
0
08 Jun 2023
Estimation of River Water Surface Elevation Using UAV Photogrammetry and
  Machine Learning
Estimation of River Water Surface Elevation Using UAV Photogrammetry and Machine Learning
Radosław Szostak
Marcin Pietroñ
P. Wachniew
M. Zimnoch
P. Ćwiąkała
24
0
0
05 Jun 2023
Uncertainty Quantification in Machine Learning for Engineering Design
  and Health Prognostics: A Tutorial
Uncertainty Quantification in Machine Learning for Engineering Design and Health Prognostics: A Tutorial
V. Nemani
Luca Biggio
Xun Huan
Zhen Hu
Olga Fink
Anh Tran
Yan Wang
Xiaoge Zhang
Chao Hu
AI4CE
33
75
0
07 May 2023
Bayesian Optimization of Catalysis With In-Context Learning
Bayesian Optimization of Catalysis With In-Context Learning
Mayk Caldas Ramos
Shane S. Michtavy
Marc D. Porosoff
Andrew D. White
BDL
44
30
0
11 Apr 2023
Uncertainty Calibration for Counterfactual Propensity Estimation in Recommendation
Uncertainty Calibration for Counterfactual Propensity Estimation in Recommendation
Wenbo Hu
Xin Sun
Qiang liu
Wenbo Hu
Shu Wu
41
0
0
23 Mar 2023
Detection of Uncertainty in Exceedance of Threshold (DUET): An
  Adversarial Patch Localizer
Detection of Uncertainty in Exceedance of Threshold (DUET): An Adversarial Patch Localizer
Terence Jie Chua
Wen-li Yu
Junfeng Zhao
AAML
UQCV
24
1
0
18 Mar 2023
Sharp Calibrated Gaussian Processes
Sharp Calibrated Gaussian Processes
A. Capone
Geoff Pleiss
Sandra Hirche
UQCV
42
4
0
23 Feb 2023
Dropout Injection at Test Time for Post Hoc Uncertainty Quantification
  in Neural Networks
Dropout Injection at Test Time for Post Hoc Uncertainty Quantification in Neural Networks
Emanuele Ledda
Giorgio Fumera
Fabio Roli
BDL
UQCV
38
14
0
06 Feb 2023
On the role of Model Uncertainties in Bayesian Optimization
On the role of Model Uncertainties in Bayesian Optimization
Jonathan Foldager
Mikkel Jordahn
Lars Kai Hansen
Michael Riis Andersen
19
4
0
14 Jan 2023
Towards Dependable Autonomous Systems Based on Bayesian Deep Learning
  Components
Towards Dependable Autonomous Systems Based on Bayesian Deep Learning Components
F. Arnez
H. Espinoza
A. Radermacher
F. Terrier
UQCV
21
4
0
12 Jan 2023
Faithful Heteroscedastic Regression with Neural Networks
Faithful Heteroscedastic Regression with Neural Networks
Andrew Stirn
H. Wessels
Megan D. Schertzer
L. Pereira
Neville E. Sanjana
David A. Knowles
UQCV
25
14
0
18 Dec 2022
Investigating Deep Learning Model Calibration for Classification
  Problems in Mechanics
Investigating Deep Learning Model Calibration for Classification Problems in Mechanics
S. Mohammadzadeh
Peerasait Prachaseree
Emma Lejeune
AI4CE
34
2
0
01 Dec 2022
Scalable PAC-Bayesian Meta-Learning via the PAC-Optimal Hyper-Posterior:
  From Theory to Practice
Scalable PAC-Bayesian Meta-Learning via the PAC-Optimal Hyper-Posterior: From Theory to Practice
Jonas Rothfuss
Martin Josifoski
Vincent Fortuin
Andreas Krause
43
7
0
14 Nov 2022
Calibrated Perception Uncertainty Across Objects and Regions in
  Bird's-Eye-View
Calibrated Perception Uncertainty Across Objects and Regions in Bird's-Eye-View
Markus Kängsepp
Meelis Kull
UQCV
15
4
0
08 Nov 2022
Conformal Quantitative Predictive Monitoring of STL Requirements for
  Stochastic Processes
Conformal Quantitative Predictive Monitoring of STL Requirements for Stochastic Processes
Francesca Cairoli
Nicola Paoletti
Luca Bortolussi
25
18
0
04 Nov 2022
Quantifying Model Uncertainty for Semantic Segmentation using Operators
  in the RKHS
Quantifying Model Uncertainty for Semantic Segmentation using Operators in the RKHS
Rishabh Singh
José C. Príncipe
UQCV
31
3
0
03 Nov 2022
MARS: Meta-Learning as Score Matching in the Function Space
MARS: Meta-Learning as Score Matching in the Function Space
Krunoslav Lehman Pavasovic
Jonas Rothfuss
Andreas Krause
BDL
33
4
0
24 Oct 2022
Calibration tests beyond classification
Calibration tests beyond classification
David Widmann
Fredrik Lindsten
Dave Zachariah
30
17
0
21 Oct 2022
Uncertainty Quantification with Pre-trained Language Models: A
  Large-Scale Empirical Analysis
Uncertainty Quantification with Pre-trained Language Models: A Large-Scale Empirical Analysis
Yuxin Xiao
Paul Pu Liang
Umang Bhatt
W. Neiswanger
Ruslan Salakhutdinov
Louis-Philippe Morency
175
86
0
10 Oct 2022
Designing Biological Sequences via Meta-Reinforcement Learning and
  Bayesian Optimization
Designing Biological Sequences via Meta-Reinforcement Learning and Bayesian Optimization
Leo Feng
Padideh Nouri
Aneri Muni
Yoshua Bengio
Pierre-Luc Bacon
116
4
0
13 Sep 2022
Gluformer: Transformer-Based Personalized Glucose Forecasting with
  Uncertainty Quantification
Gluformer: Transformer-Based Personalized Glucose Forecasting with Uncertainty Quantification
Renat Sergazinov
Mohammadreza Armandpour
I. Gaynanova
BDL
AI4TS
MedIm
38
11
0
09 Sep 2022
Conformal Methods for Quantifying Uncertainty in Spatiotemporal Data: A
  Survey
Conformal Methods for Quantifying Uncertainty in Spatiotemporal Data: A Survey
S. Sun
AI4CE
35
10
0
08 Sep 2022
A Comprehensive Review of Digital Twin -- Part 2: Roles of Uncertainty
  Quantification and Optimization, a Battery Digital Twin, and Perspectives
A Comprehensive Review of Digital Twin -- Part 2: Roles of Uncertainty Quantification and Optimization, a Battery Digital Twin, and Perspectives
Adam Thelen
Xiaoge Zhang
Olga Fink
Yan Lu
Sayan Ghosh
B. Youn
Michael D. Todd
S. Mahadevan
Chao Hu
Zhen Hu
25
86
0
27 Aug 2022
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