Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

30 June 2022

Papers citing "Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks"

23 / 23 papers shown

Title
Superintelligence Strategy: Expert Version Dan Hendrycks Eric Schmidt Alexandr Wang 59 1 0 07 Mar 2025
FOReCAst: The Future Outcome Reasoning and Confidence Assessment Benchmark Zhangdie Yuan Zifeng Ding Andreas Vlachos AI4TS 82 0 0 27 Feb 2025
Real-time Fake News from Adversarial Feedback Sanxing Chen Yukun Huang Bhuwan Dhingra 39 0 0 31 Dec 2024
Forecasting Future International Events: A Reliable Dataset for Text-Based Event Modeling Daehoon Gwak Junwoo Park Minho Park C. Park Hyunchan Lee E. Choi Jaegul Choo 76 0 0 21 Nov 2024
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities Ezra Karger Houtan Bastani Chen Yueh-Han Zachary Jacobs Danny Halawi Fred Zhang P. Tetlock 33 6 0 30 Sep 2024
Safetywashing: Do AI Safety Benchmarks Actually Measure Safety Progress? Richard Ren Steven Basart Adam Khoja Alice Gatti Long Phan ... Alexander Pan Gabriel Mukobi Ryan H. Kim Stephen Fitz Dan Hendrycks ELM 26 21 0 31 Jul 2024
Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies? Sarah Pratt Seth Blumberg Pietro K. Carolino Meredith Ringel Morris ELM 37 3 0 06 Jun 2024
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models Danny Halawi Fred Zhang Chen Yueh-Han Jacob Steinhardt 47 29 0 28 Feb 2024
Event-level Knowledge Editing Hao Peng Xiaozhi Wang Chunyang Li Kaisheng Zeng Jiangshan Duo Yixin Cao Lei Hou Juanzi Li KELM 50 5 0 20 Feb 2024
Humans vs Large Language Models: Judgmental Forecasting in an Era of Advanced AI Mahdi Abolghasemi Odkhishig Ganbold Kristian Rotaru 24 8 0 12 Dec 2023
AutoCast++: Enhancing World Event Prediction with Zero-shot Ranking-based Context Retrieval Qi Yan Raihan Seraj Jiawei He Li Meng Tristan Sylvain 14 9 0 03 Oct 2023
Evaluating Superhuman Models with Consistency Checks Lukas Fluri Daniel Paleka Florian Tramèr ELM 42 42 0 16 Jun 2023
Drafting Event Schemas using Language Models Anisha Gunjal Greg Durrett AI4TS 27 6 0 24 May 2023
Mitigating Temporal Misalignment by Discarding Outdated Facts Michael J.Q. Zhang Eunsol Choi KELM HILM 27 17 0 24 May 2023
Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting Without Knowledge Using In-Context Learning Dong-Ho Lee Kian Ahrabian Woojeong Jin Fred Morstatter Jay Pujara 24 31 0 17 May 2023
Natural Selection Favors AIs over Humans Dan Hendrycks 23 31 0 28 Mar 2023
Towards the Scalable Evaluation of Cooperativeness in Language Models Alan Chan Maxime Riché Jesse Clifton LLMAG 25 6 0 16 Mar 2023
Conditioning Predictive Models: Risks and Strategies Evan Hubinger Adam Jermyn Johannes Treutlein Rubi Hudson Kate Woolverton 33 5 0 02 Feb 2023
Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words Stephanie C. Lin Jacob Hilton Owain Evans OOD 15 363 0 28 May 2022
Truthful AI: Developing and governing AI that does not lie Owain Evans Owen Cotton-Barratt Lukas Finnveden Adam Bales Avital Balwit Peter Wills Luca Righetti William Saunders HILM 236 109 0 13 Oct 2021
Unsolved Problems in ML Safety Dan Hendrycks Nicholas Carlini John Schulman Jacob Steinhardt 186 273 0 28 Sep 2021
BEIR: A Heterogenous Benchmark for Zero-shot Evaluation of Information Retrieval Models Nandan Thakur Nils Reimers Andreas Rucklé Abhishek Srivastava Iryna Gurevych VLM 231 966 0 17 Apr 2021
AI safety via debate G. Irving Paul Christiano Dario Amodei 204 200 0 02 May 2018