Forecast Hedging and Calibration

13 October 2022

Papers citing "Forecast Hedging and Calibration"

18 / 18 papers shown

Title
In Defense of Defensive Forecasting Juan Carlos Perdomo Benjamin Recht 15 0 0 13 Jun 2025
Distribution free M-estimation John C. Duchi Felipe Areces 16 0 0 28 May 2025
Improved Bounds for Swap Multicalibration and Swap Omniprediction Haipeng Luo Spandan Senapati Vatsal Sharan 49 0 0 27 May 2025
Simultaneous Swap Regret Minimization via KL-Calibration Haipeng Luo Spandan Senapati Vatsal Sharan 86 4 0 23 Feb 2025
Predict to Minimize Swap Regret for All Payoff-Bounded Tasks Lunjia Hu Yifan Wu 99 4 0 21 Apr 2024
The Relative Value of Prediction in Algorithmic Decision Making Juan C. Perdomo 32 11 0 13 Dec 2023
Classifier Calibration with ROC-Regularized Isotonic Regression Eugene Berta Francis Bach Michael I. Jordan 35 9 0 21 Nov 2023
Smooth ECE: Principled Reliability Diagrams via Kernel Smoothing Jarosław Błasiok Preetum Nakkiran UQCV 110 26 0 21 Sep 2023
U-Calibration: Forecasting for an Unknown Agent Robert D. Kleinberg R. Leme Jon Schneider Yifeng Teng AI4TS 62 26 0 30 Jun 2023
Calibrated Stackelberg Games: Learning Optimal Commitments Against Calibrated Agents Nika Haghtalab Chara Podimata Kunhe Yang 84 26 0 05 Jun 2023
Online Platt Scaling with Calibeating Chirag Gupta Aaditya Ramdas 53 5 0 28 Apr 2023
A Unifying Theory of Distance from Calibration Jarosław Błasiok Parikshit Gopalan Lunjia Hu Preetum Nakkiran 98 41 0 30 Nov 2022
Calibrated Forecasts: The Minimax Proof S. Hart AI4TS 28 25 0 13 Sep 2022
"Calibeating": Beating Forecasters at Their Own Game Dean Phillips Foster S. Hart 51 14 0 11 Sep 2022
Practical Adversarial Multivalid Conformal Prediction Osbert Bastani Varun Gupta Christopher Jung Georgy Noarov Ramya Ramalingam Aaron Roth 201 56 0 02 Jun 2022
Faster online calibration without randomization: interval forecasts and the power of two choices Chirag Gupta Aaditya Ramdas 56 4 0 27 Apr 2022
Online Multivalid Learning: Means, Moments, and Prediction Intervals Varun Gupta Christopher Jung Georgy Noarov Mallesh M. Pai Aaron Roth 102 44 0 05 Jan 2021
Stronger Calibration Lower Bounds via Sidestepping Mingda Qiao Gregory Valiant 100 24 0 07 Dec 2020