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2402.19379
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Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy
29 February 2024
P. Schoenegger
Indre Tuminauskaite
Peter S. Park
Rafael Valdece Sousa Bastos
P. Tetlock
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Papers citing
"Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy"
13 / 13 papers shown
Title
Reasoning-Based AI for Startup Evaluation (R.A.I.S.E.): A Memory-Augmented, Multi-Step Decision Framework
Jack Preuveneers
Joseph Ternasky
Fuat Alican
Yigit Ihlamur
LRM
33
0
0
16 Apr 2025
Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations
Siddarth Srinivasan
Ezra Karger
Michiel Bakker
Yiling Chen
FAtt
55
0
0
20 Feb 2025
Benchmarking the rationality of AI decision making using the transitivity axiom
Kiwon Song
James M. Jennings III
Clintin P. Davis-Stober
28
0
0
14 Feb 2025
LLMs Can Teach Themselves to Better Predict the Future
Benjamin Turtel
Danny Franklin
Philipp Schoenegger
LRM
57
0
0
07 Feb 2025
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
Ezra Karger
Houtan Bastani
Chen Yueh-Han
Zachary Jacobs
Danny Halawi
Fred Zhang
P. Tetlock
27
6
0
30 Sep 2024
Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting
Elvis Hsieh
Preston Fu
Jonathan Chen
ReLM
LLMAG
LRM
21
1
0
21 Aug 2024
OpenEP: Open-Ended Future Event Prediction
Yong Guan
Hao Peng
Xiaozhi Wang
Lei Hou
Juanzi Li
19
2
0
13 Aug 2024
Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?
Sarah Pratt
Seth Blumberg
Pietro K. Carolino
Meredith Ringel Morris
ELM
21
3
0
06 Jun 2024
Can Language Models Recognize Convincing Arguments?
Paula Rescala
Manoel Horta Ribeiro
Tiancheng Hu
Robert West
LRM
24
15
0
31 Mar 2024
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
Danny Halawi
Fred Zhang
Chen Yueh-Han
Jacob Steinhardt
34
14
0
28 Feb 2024
AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy
P. Schoenegger
Peter S. Park
Ezra Karger
P. Tetlock
21
14
0
12 Feb 2024
A Review of ChatGPT Applications in Education, Marketing, Software Engineering, and Healthcare: Benefits, Drawbacks, and Research Directions
Mohammad Fraiwan
Natheer Khasawneh
38
35
0
29 Apr 2023
Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4
Sébastien Bubeck
Varun Chandrasekaran
Ronen Eldan
J. Gehrke
Eric Horvitz
...
Scott M. Lundberg
Harsha Nori
Hamid Palangi
Marco Tulio Ribeiro
Yi Zhang
ELM
AI4MH
AI4CE
ALM
197
2,232
0
22 Mar 2023
1