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Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival
  Human Crowd Accuracy

Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy

29 February 2024
P. Schoenegger
Indre Tuminauskaite
Peter S. Park
Rafael Valdece Sousa Bastos
P. Tetlock
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracy"

13 / 13 papers shown
Title
Reasoning-Based AI for Startup Evaluation (R.A.I.S.E.): A Memory-Augmented, Multi-Step Decision Framework
Reasoning-Based AI for Startup Evaluation (R.A.I.S.E.): A Memory-Augmented, Multi-Step Decision Framework
Jack Preuveneers
Joseph Ternasky
Fuat Alican
Yigit Ihlamur
LRM
33
0
0
16 Apr 2025
Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations
Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations
Siddarth Srinivasan
Ezra Karger
Michiel Bakker
Yiling Chen
FAtt
57
0
0
20 Feb 2025
Benchmarking the rationality of AI decision making using the transitivity axiom
Benchmarking the rationality of AI decision making using the transitivity axiom
Kiwon Song
James M. Jennings III
Clintin P. Davis-Stober
30
0
0
14 Feb 2025
LLMs Can Teach Themselves to Better Predict the Future
LLMs Can Teach Themselves to Better Predict the Future
Benjamin Turtel
Danny Franklin
Philipp Schoenegger
LRM
57
0
0
07 Feb 2025
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
Ezra Karger
Houtan Bastani
Chen Yueh-Han
Zachary Jacobs
Danny Halawi
Fred Zhang
P. Tetlock
30
6
0
30 Sep 2024
Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting
Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting
Elvis Hsieh
Preston Fu
Jonathan Chen
ReLM
LLMAG
LRM
21
1
0
21 Aug 2024
OpenEP: Open-Ended Future Event Prediction
OpenEP: Open-Ended Future Event Prediction
Yong Guan
Hao Peng
Xiaozhi Wang
Lei Hou
Juanzi Li
21
2
0
13 Aug 2024
Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?
Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?
Sarah Pratt
Seth Blumberg
Pietro K. Carolino
Meredith Ringel Morris
ELM
23
3
0
06 Jun 2024
Can Language Models Recognize Convincing Arguments?
Can Language Models Recognize Convincing Arguments?
Paula Rescala
Manoel Horta Ribeiro
Tiancheng Hu
Robert West
LRM
24
15
0
31 Mar 2024
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
Danny Halawi
Fred Zhang
Chen Yueh-Han
Jacob Steinhardt
39
14
0
28 Feb 2024
AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting
  Accuracy
AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy
P. Schoenegger
Peter S. Park
Ezra Karger
P. Tetlock
23
14
0
12 Feb 2024
A Review of ChatGPT Applications in Education, Marketing, Software
  Engineering, and Healthcare: Benefits, Drawbacks, and Research Directions
A Review of ChatGPT Applications in Education, Marketing, Software Engineering, and Healthcare: Benefits, Drawbacks, and Research Directions
Mohammad Fraiwan
Natheer Khasawneh
38
46
0
29 Apr 2023
Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4
Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4
Sébastien Bubeck
Varun Chandrasekaran
Ronen Eldan
J. Gehrke
Eric Horvitz
...
Scott M. Lundberg
Harsha Nori
Hamid Palangi
Marco Tulio Ribeiro
Yi Zhang
ELM
AI4MH
AI4CE
ALM
203
2,232
0
22 Mar 2023
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