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NGBoost: Natural Gradient Boosting for Probabilistic Prediction
v1v2v3v4 (latest)

NGBoost: Natural Gradient Boosting for Probabilistic Prediction

8 October 2019
Tony Duan
Anand Avati
D. Ding
Khanh K. Thai
S. Basu
A. Ng
Alejandro Schuler
    BDL
ArXiv (abs)PDFHTMLGithub (1711★)

Papers citing "NGBoost: Natural Gradient Boosting for Probabilistic Prediction"

50 / 70 papers shown
Title
LabTOP: A Unified Model for Lab Test Outcome Prediction on Electronic Health Records
LabTOP: A Unified Model for Lab Test Outcome Prediction on Electronic Health Records
Sujeong Im
Jungwoo Oh
Edward Choi
BDLLM&MA
108
0
0
20 Feb 2025
Predictive Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification of Fatigue Life in Metal Alloys using Machine Learning
Jiang Chang
Deekshith Basvoju
Aleksandar Vakanski
Indrajit Charit
Min Xian
AI4CE
113
0
0
28 Jan 2025
Analyzing Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Dissolved Oxygen for the River Thames using Superstatistical Methods and Machine Learning
Analyzing Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Dissolved Oxygen for the River Thames using Superstatistical Methods and Machine Learning
Hankun He
Takuya Boehringer
Benjamin Schäfer
Kate Heppell
Christian Beck
214
4
0
10 Jan 2025
AdaPRL: Adaptive Pairwise Regression Learning with Uncertainty Estimation for Universal Regression Tasks
AdaPRL: Adaptive Pairwise Regression Learning with Uncertainty Estimation for Universal Regression Tasks
Fuhang Liang
Rucong Xu
Deng Lin
OOD
77
0
0
10 Jan 2025
Deep Learning for Ophthalmology: The State-of-the-Art and Future Trends
Deep Learning for Ophthalmology: The State-of-the-Art and Future Trends
Duy M. Nguyen
Hasan Md Tusfiqur Alam
Trung Quoc Nguyen
Devansh Srivastav
H. Profitlich
Ngan Le
Daniel Sonntag
90
3
0
07 Jan 2025
Supervised Score-Based Modeling by Gradient Boosting
Supervised Score-Based Modeling by Gradient Boosting
Changyuan Zhao
Hongyang Du
Guangyuan Liu
Dusit Niyato
DiffM
86
0
0
02 Nov 2024
NRGBoost: Energy-Based Generative Boosted Trees
NRGBoost: Energy-Based Generative Boosted Trees
João Bravo
130
0
0
04 Oct 2024
Conformal Prediction for Dose-Response Models with Continuous Treatments
Conformal Prediction for Dose-Response Models with Continuous Treatments
Jarne Verhaeghe
Jef Jonkers
Sofie Van Hoecke
58
0
0
30 Sep 2024
Boosted generalized normal distributions: Integrating machine learning
  with operations knowledge
Boosted generalized normal distributions: Integrating machine learning with operations knowledge
Ragip Gurlek
F. Véricourt
Donald K. K. Lee
AI4CE
46
1
0
26 Jul 2024
Transformers with Stochastic Competition for Tabular Data Modelling
Transformers with Stochastic Competition for Tabular Data Modelling
Andreas Voskou
Charalambos Christoforou
S. Chatzis
LMTD
92
1
0
18 Jul 2024
Gradient Boosting Reinforcement Learning
Gradient Boosting Reinforcement Learning
Benjamin Fuhrer
Chen Tessler
Gal Dalal
OffRLAI4CE
181
3
0
11 Jul 2024
Unmasking Trees for Tabular Data
Unmasking Trees for Tabular Data
Calvin McCarter
90
3
0
08 Jul 2024
Treeffuser: Probabilistic Predictions via Conditional Diffusions with
  Gradient-Boosted Trees
Treeffuser: Probabilistic Predictions via Conditional Diffusions with Gradient-Boosted Trees
Nicolas Beltran-Velez
Alessandro Antonio Grande
Achille Nazaret
A. Kucukelbir
David M. Blei
88
3
0
11 Jun 2024
Generative modeling of density regression through tree flows
Generative modeling of density regression through tree flows
Zhuoqun Wang
Naoki Awaya
Li Ma
DRL
59
0
0
07 Jun 2024
Diffusion Boosted Trees
Diffusion Boosted Trees
Xizewen Han
Mingyuan Zhou
AI4CE
102
0
0
03 Jun 2024
Wasserstein Gradient Boosting: A General Framework with Applications to
  Posterior Regression
Wasserstein Gradient Boosting: A General Framework with Applications to Posterior Regression
Takuo Matsubara
46
0
0
15 May 2024
Forecasting with Hyper-Trees
Forecasting with Hyper-Trees
Alexander März
Kashif Rasul
127
0
0
13 May 2024
Surprisingly Strong Performance Prediction with Neural Graph Features
Surprisingly Strong Performance Prediction with Neural Graph Features
Gabriela Kadlecová
Jovita Lukasik
Martin Pilát
Petra Vidnerová
Mahmoud Safari
Roman Neruda
Frank Hutter
GNNOOD
104
2
0
25 Apr 2024
ProbSAINT: Probabilistic Tabular Regression for Used Car Pricing
ProbSAINT: Probabilistic Tabular Regression for Used Car Pricing
Kiran Madhusudhanan
Gunnar Behrens
Maximilian Stubbemann
Lars Schmidt-Thieme
59
0
0
06 Mar 2024
Embracing Uncertainty Flexibility: Harnessing a Supervised Tree Kernel
  to Empower Ensemble Modelling for 2D Echocardiography-Based Prediction of
  Right Ventricular Volume
Embracing Uncertainty Flexibility: Harnessing a Supervised Tree Kernel to Empower Ensemble Modelling for 2D Echocardiography-Based Prediction of Right Ventricular Volume
T. A. Bohoran
P. Kampaktsis
Laura McLaughlin
Jay Leb
Gerry P. McCann
A. Giannakidis
77
1
0
04 Mar 2024
Offensive Lineup Analysis in Basketball with Clustering Players Based on
  Shooting Style and Offensive Role
Offensive Lineup Analysis in Basketball with Clustering Players Based on Shooting Style and Offensive Role
Kazuhiro Yamada
Keisuke Fujii
21
0
0
04 Mar 2024
Simulation Based Bayesian Optimization
Simulation Based Bayesian Optimization
Roi Naveiro
Becky Tang
49
0
0
19 Jan 2024
A tree-based varying coefficient model
A tree-based varying coefficient model
Henning Zakrisson
Mathias Lindholm
89
1
0
11 Jan 2024
Robust Calibration For Improved Weather Prediction Under Distributional
  Shift
Robust Calibration For Improved Weather Prediction Under Distributional Shift
Sankalp Gilda
Neel Bhandari
Wendy Mak
Andrea Panizza
UQCVOOD
21
1
0
08 Jan 2024
Uncertainty Quantification in Multivariable Regression for Material
  Property Prediction with Bayesian Neural Networks
Uncertainty Quantification in Multivariable Regression for Material Property Prediction with Bayesian Neural Networks
Longze Li
Jiang Chang
Aleksandar Vakanski
Yachun Wang
Tiankai Yao
Min Xian
AI4CE
42
21
0
04 Nov 2023
Model Uncertainty based Active Learning on Tabular Data using Boosted
  Trees
Model Uncertainty based Active Learning on Tabular Data using Boosted Trees
Sharath M Shankaranarayana
74
0
0
30 Oct 2023
Ensemble-based Hybrid Optimization of Bayesian Neural Networks and
  Traditional Machine Learning Algorithms
Ensemble-based Hybrid Optimization of Bayesian Neural Networks and Traditional Machine Learning Algorithms
Peiwen Tan
BDL
97
1
0
09 Oct 2023
Using causal inference to avoid fallouts in data-driven parametric
  analysis: a case study in the architecture, engineering, and construction
  industry
Using causal inference to avoid fallouts in data-driven parametric analysis: a case study in the architecture, engineering, and construction industry
Xia Chen
Ruiji Sun
U. Saluz
S. Schiavon
Philipp Geyer
52
8
0
11 Sep 2023
Uncertainty and Explainable Analysis of Machine Learning Model for
  Reconstruction of Sonic Slowness Logs
Uncertainty and Explainable Analysis of Machine Learning Model for Reconstruction of Sonic Slowness Logs
Hua Wang
Yuqiong Wu
Yushun Zhang
F. Lai
Zhou Feng
Bing Xie
Ailin Zhao
21
3
0
24 Aug 2023
ASDL: A Unified Interface for Gradient Preconditioning in PyTorch
ASDL: A Unified Interface for Gradient Preconditioning in PyTorch
Kazuki Osawa
Satoki Ishikawa
Rio Yokota
Shigang Li
Torsten Hoefler
ODL
87
15
0
08 May 2023
Modelling the performance of delivery vehicles across urban
  micro-regions to accelerate the transition to cargo-bike logistics
Modelling the performance of delivery vehicles across urban micro-regions to accelerate the transition to cargo-bike logistics
Max Schrader
Navish Kumar
Nicolas Collignon
Esben Sørig
Soon-Jo Yoon
Akash Srivastava
Kai Xu
Maria Astefanoaei
20
0
0
30 Jan 2023
Neural Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape: A Framework for
  Interpretable Neural Regression Beyond the Mean
Neural Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape: A Framework for Interpretable Neural Regression Beyond the Mean
Anton Thielmann
René-Marcel Kruse
Thomas Kneib
Benjamin Säfken
88
13
0
27 Jan 2023
A Robust Hypothesis Test for Tree Ensemble Pruning
A Robust Hypothesis Test for Tree Ensemble Pruning
Daniel de Marchi
Matthew Welch
Michael R. Kosorok
22
1
0
24 Jan 2023
Scalable Estimation for Structured Additive Distributional Regression
Scalable Estimation for Structured Additive Distributional Regression
Nikolaus Umlauf
Johannes Seiler
Mattias Wetscher
T. Simon
S. Lang
Nadja Klein
29
6
0
13 Jan 2023
ExcelFormer: A neural network surpassing GBDTs on tabular data
ExcelFormer: A neural network surpassing GBDTs on tabular data
Jintai Chen
Jiahuan Yan
Qiyuan Chen
Danny Chen
Jian Wu
Jimeng Sun
LMTD
161
27
0
07 Jan 2023
Calibration and generalizability of probabilistic models on low-data
  chemical datasets with DIONYSUS
Calibration and generalizability of probabilistic models on low-data chemical datasets with DIONYSUS
Gary Tom
Riley J. Hickman
Aniket N. Zinzuwadia
A. Mohajeri
Benjamín Sánchez-Lengeling
A. Aspuru‐Guzik
75
16
0
03 Dec 2022
Uncertainty Aware Trader-Company Method: Interpretable Stock Price
  Prediction Capturing Uncertainty
Uncertainty Aware Trader-Company Method: Interpretable Stock Price Prediction Capturing Uncertainty
Yugo Fujimotol
Kei Nakagawa
Kentaro Imajo
Kentaro Minami
AIFin
68
3
0
31 Oct 2022
Nonparametric Probabilistic Regression with Coarse Learners
Nonparametric Probabilistic Regression with Coarse Learners
B. Lucena
40
0
0
28 Oct 2022
Uncertainty in Extreme Multi-label Classification
Uncertainty in Extreme Multi-label Classification
Jyun-Yu Jiang
Wei-Cheng Chang
Jiong Zhong
Cho-Jui Hsieh
Hsiang-Fu Yu
UQCV
80
0
0
18 Oct 2022
Multi-Target XGBoostLSS Regression
Multi-Target XGBoostLSS Regression
Alexander März
63
5
0
13 Oct 2022
TRBoost: A Generic Gradient Boosting Machine based on Trust-region
  Method
TRBoost: A Generic Gradient Boosting Machine based on Trust-region Method
Jiaqi Luo
Zihao Wei
Junkai Man
Shi-qian Xu
67
8
0
28 Sep 2022
Sample-based Uncertainty Quantification with a Single Deterministic
  Neural Network
Sample-based Uncertainty Quantification with a Single Deterministic Neural Network
T. Kanazawa
Chetan Gupta
UQCV
79
4
0
17 Sep 2022
A review of machine learning concepts and methods for addressing
  challenges in probabilistic hydrological post-processing and forecasting
A review of machine learning concepts and methods for addressing challenges in probabilistic hydrological post-processing and forecasting
Georgia Papacharalampous
Hristos Tyralis
AI4CE
84
28
0
17 Jun 2022
Classification of datasets with imputed missing values: does imputation
  quality matter?
Classification of datasets with imputed missing values: does imputation quality matter?
Tolou Shadbahr
M. Roberts
Jan Stanczuk
J. Gilbey
P. Teare
...
T. Mirtti
A. Rannikko
J. Aston
Jing Tang
Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb
68
59
0
16 Jun 2022
TreeFlow: Going beyond Tree-based Gaussian Probabilistic Regression
TreeFlow: Going beyond Tree-based Gaussian Probabilistic Regression
Patryk Wielopolski
Maciej Ziȩba
UQCV
74
1
0
08 Jun 2022
Instance-Based Uncertainty Estimation for Gradient-Boosted Regression
  Trees
Instance-Based Uncertainty Estimation for Gradient-Boosted Regression Trees
Jonathan Brophy
Daniel Lowd
72
10
0
23 May 2022
Probabilistic Models for Manufacturing Lead Times
Probabilistic Models for Manufacturing Lead Times
Recep Yusuf Bekci
Yacine Mahdid
Jinling Xing
Nikita Letov
Ying Zhang
Zahid Pasha
57
0
0
28 Apr 2022
Distributional Gradient Boosting Machines
Distributional Gradient Boosting Machines
Alexander März
Thomas Kneib
AI4CE
64
7
0
02 Apr 2022
On Uncertainty Estimation by Tree-based Surrogate Models in Sequential
  Model-based Optimization
On Uncertainty Estimation by Tree-based Surrogate Models in Sequential Model-based Optimization
Jungtaek Kim
Seungjin Choi
53
6
0
22 Feb 2022
Look back, look around: a systematic analysis of effective predictors
  for new outlinks in focused Web crawling
Look back, look around: a systematic analysis of effective predictors for new outlinks in focused Web crawling
Thi Kim Nhung Dang
Doina Bucur
Berk Atil
Guillaume Pitel
Frank Ruis
H. Kadkhodaei
Exensa
48
7
0
09 Nov 2021
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