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A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free
  Uncertainty Quantification

A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification

15 July 2021
Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos
Stephen Bates
    OOD
ArXivPDFHTML

Papers citing "A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification"

50 / 86 papers shown
Title
Uncertainty Quantification for Machine Learning in Healthcare: A Survey
Uncertainty Quantification for Machine Learning in Healthcare: A Survey
L. J. L. Lopez
Shaza Elsharief
Dhiyaa Al Jorf
Firas Darwish
Congbo Ma
Farah E. Shamout
52
0
0
04 May 2025
Plug-and-Play Physics-informed Learning using Uncertainty Quantified Port-Hamiltonian Models
Plug-and-Play Physics-informed Learning using Uncertainty Quantified Port-Hamiltonian Models
Kaiyuan Tan
Peilun Li
J. Wang
Thomas Beckers
AI4CE
17
0
0
24 Apr 2025
Leave-One-Out Stable Conformal Prediction
Leave-One-Out Stable Conformal Prediction
Kiljae Lee
Yuan Zhang
34
0
0
16 Apr 2025
Inferring Outcome Means of Exponential Family Distributions Estimated by Deep Neural Networks
Inferring Outcome Means of Exponential Family Distributions Estimated by Deep Neural Networks
Xuran Meng
Yi Li
BDL
25
0
0
12 Apr 2025
Conformal Prediction with Upper and Lower Bound Models
Miao Li
Michael Klamkin
Mathieu Tanneau
Reza Zandehshahvar
Pascal Van Hentenryck
48
0
0
06 Mar 2025
Confidence-aware Fine-tuning of Sequential Recommendation Systems via Conformal Prediction
Confidence-aware Fine-tuning of Sequential Recommendation Systems via Conformal Prediction
Chen Wang
Fangxin Wang
Ruocheng Guo
Yueqing Liang
Philip S. Yu
118
4
0
21 Feb 2025
CARE: Confidence-Aware Regression Estimation of building density fine-tuning EO Foundation Models
CARE: Confidence-Aware Regression Estimation of building density fine-tuning EO Foundation Models
Nikolaos Dionelis
Jente Bosmans
Nicolas Longepe
55
0
0
19 Feb 2025
Conformal Prediction Sets Can Cause Disparate Impact
Conformal Prediction Sets Can Cause Disparate Impact
Jesse C. Cresswell
Bhargava Kumar
Yi Sui
Mouloud Belbahri
FaML
77
1
0
17 Feb 2025
Beyond Confidence: Adaptive Abstention in Dual-Threshold Conformal Prediction for Autonomous System Perception
Beyond Confidence: Adaptive Abstention in Dual-Threshold Conformal Prediction for Autonomous System Perception
Divake Kumar
Nastaran Darabi
Sina Tayebati
A. R. Trivedi
69
0
0
11 Feb 2025
Interaction-aware Conformal Prediction for Crowd Navigation
Zhe Huang
Tianchen Ji
Heling Zhang
Fatemeh Cheraghi Pouria
Katherine Rose Driggs-Campbell
Roy Dong
79
0
0
10 Feb 2025
Multivariate Conformal Prediction using Optimal Transport
Multivariate Conformal Prediction using Optimal Transport
Michal Klein
Louis Béthune
Eugène Ndiaye
Marco Cuturi
OT
59
3
0
05 Feb 2025
Wasserstein-regularized Conformal Prediction under General Distribution Shift
Wasserstein-regularized Conformal Prediction under General Distribution Shift
Rui Xu
Chao Chen
Yue Sun
Parvathinathan Venkitasubramaniam
Sihong Xie
28
0
0
23 Jan 2025
GeoConformal prediction: a model-agnostic framework of measuring the uncertainty of spatial prediction
GeoConformal prediction: a model-agnostic framework of measuring the uncertainty of spatial prediction
Xiayin Lou
Peng Luo
Liqiu Meng
87
0
0
05 Dec 2024
A Review of Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Probabilistic Image Segmentation
A Review of Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Probabilistic Image Segmentation
M. Valiuddin
R. V. Sloun
C.G.A. Viviers
Peter H. N. de With
Fons van der Sommen
UQCV
79
1
0
25 Nov 2024
Fine-Grained Uncertainty Quantification via Collisions
Fine-Grained Uncertainty Quantification via Collisions
Jesse Friedbaum
S. Adiga
Ravi Tandon
57
0
0
18 Nov 2024
Conformal-in-the-Loop for Learning with Imbalanced Noisy Data
Conformal-in-the-Loop for Learning with Imbalanced Noisy Data
J. B. Graham-Knight
Jamil Fayyad
Nourhan Bayasi
Patricia Lasserre
H. Najjaran
30
0
0
04 Nov 2024
Powerful batch conformal prediction for classification
Powerful batch conformal prediction for classification
Ulysse Gazin
Ruth Heller
Étienne Roquain
Aldo Solari
36
0
0
04 Nov 2024
Semiparametric conformal prediction
Semiparametric conformal prediction
Ji Won Park
Robert Tibshirani
Kyunghyun Cho
38
4
0
04 Nov 2024
C-Adapter: Adapting Deep Classifiers for Efficient Conformal Prediction Sets
C-Adapter: Adapting Deep Classifiers for Efficient Conformal Prediction Sets
Kangdao Liu
Hao Zeng
Jianguo Huang
Huiping Zhuang
Chi-Man Vong
Hongxin Wei
55
4
0
12 Oct 2024
Conformal Prediction: A Data Perspective
Conformal Prediction: A Data Perspective
Xiaofan Zhou
Baiting Chen
Yu Gui
Lu Cheng
59
2
0
09 Oct 2024
Unpacking Failure Modes of Generative Policies: Runtime Monitoring of
  Consistency and Progress
Unpacking Failure Modes of Generative Policies: Runtime Monitoring of Consistency and Progress
Christopher Agia
Rohan Sinha
Jingyun Yang
Zi-ang Cao
Rika Antonova
Marco Pavone
Jeannette Bohg
26
6
0
06 Oct 2024
Lightning UQ Box: A Comprehensive Framework for Uncertainty
  Quantification in Deep Learning
Lightning UQ Box: A Comprehensive Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning
Nils Lehmann
Jakob Gawlikowski
Adam J. Stewart
Vytautas Jancauskas
Stefan Depeweg
Eric T. Nalisnick
N. Gottschling
35
0
0
04 Oct 2024
Conformal Generative Modeling with Improved Sample Efficiency through Sequential Greedy Filtering
Conformal Generative Modeling with Improved Sample Efficiency through Sequential Greedy Filtering
K. K.
Bernhard Schölkopf
Michael Muehlebach
24
0
0
02 Oct 2024
Adaptive inference with random ellipsoids through Conformal Conditional
  Linear Expectation
Adaptive inference with random ellipsoids through Conformal Conditional Linear Expectation
Iain Henderson
Adrien Mazoyer
Fabrice Gamboa
22
4
0
27 Sep 2024
SECURE: Semantics-aware Embodied Conversation under Unawareness for Lifelong Robot Learning
SECURE: Semantics-aware Embodied Conversation under Unawareness for Lifelong Robot Learning
Rimvydas Rubavicius
Peter David Fagan
A. Lascarides
Subramanian Ramamoorthy
LM&Ro
73
0
0
26 Sep 2024
Asymptotics for conformal inference
Asymptotics for conformal inference
Ulysse Gazin
13
1
0
18 Sep 2024
Quantifying Aleatoric and Epistemic Dynamics Uncertainty via Local Conformal Calibration
Quantifying Aleatoric and Epistemic Dynamics Uncertainty via Local Conformal Calibration
Luís Marques
Dmitry Berenson
18
0
0
12 Sep 2024
Conformal Trajectory Prediction with Multi-View Data Integration in Cooperative Driving
Conformal Trajectory Prediction with Multi-View Data Integration in Cooperative Driving
Xi Chen
Rahul Bhadani
Larry Head
78
0
0
01 Aug 2024
Probabilistic Parameter Estimators and Calibration Metrics for Pose
  Estimation from Image Features
Probabilistic Parameter Estimators and Calibration Metrics for Pose Estimation from Image Features
Romeo Valentin
Sydney M. Katz
Joonghyun Lee
Don Walker
Matthew Sorgenfrei
Mykel J. Kochenderfer
29
0
0
23 Jul 2024
Error Detection and Constraint Recovery in Hierarchical Multi-Label Classification without Prior Knowledge
Error Detection and Constraint Recovery in Hierarchical Multi-Label Classification without Prior Knowledge
Joshua Shay Kricheli
Khoa Vo
Aniruddha Datta
Spencer Ozgur
Paulo Shakarian
30
2
0
21 Jul 2024
Valid Error Bars for Neural Weather Models using Conformal Prediction
Valid Error Bars for Neural Weather Models using Conformal Prediction
Vignesh Gopakumar
Joel Oskarrson
Ander Gray
L. Zanisi
Stanislas Pamela
Daniel Giles
Matt Kusner
M. Deisenroth
28
0
0
20 Jun 2024
Learning Temporal Logic Predicates from Data with Statistical Guarantees
Learning Temporal Logic Predicates from Data with Statistical Guarantees
Emi Soroka
Rohan Sinha
Sanjay Lall
30
0
0
15 Jun 2024
Normalizing Flows for Conformal Regression
Normalizing Flows for Conformal Regression
Nicolo Colombo
33
6
0
05 Jun 2024
Valid Conformal Prediction for Dynamic GNNs
Valid Conformal Prediction for Dynamic GNNs
Ed Davis
Ian Gallagher
Daniel J. Lawson
Patrick Rubin-Delanchy
AI4CE
32
3
0
29 May 2024
CHAMP: Conformalized 3D Human Multi-Hypothesis Pose Estimators
CHAMP: Conformalized 3D Human Multi-Hypothesis Pose Estimators
Harry Zhang
Luca Carlone
3DH
66
1
0
27 May 2024
Conditional Shift-Robust Conformal Prediction for Graph Neural Network
Conditional Shift-Robust Conformal Prediction for Graph Neural Network
Akansha Agrawal
UQCV
45
1
0
20 May 2024
Learning minimal volume uncertainty ellipsoids
Learning minimal volume uncertainty ellipsoids
Itai Alon
David Arnon
A. Wiesel
30
1
0
03 May 2024
Conformal Semantic Image Segmentation: Post-hoc Quantification of
  Predictive Uncertainty
Conformal Semantic Image Segmentation: Post-hoc Quantification of Predictive Uncertainty
Luca Mossina
Joseba Dalmau
Léo Andéol
UQCV
28
11
0
16 Apr 2024
CONFLARE: CONFormal LArge language model REtrieval
CONFLARE: CONFormal LArge language model REtrieval
Pouria Rouzrokh
S. Faghani
Cooper Gamble
Moein Shariatnia
Bradley J. Erickson
3DV
RALM
37
2
0
04 Apr 2024
Perceive With Confidence: Statistical Safety Assurances for Navigation with Learning-Based Perception
Perceive With Confidence: Statistical Safety Assurances for Navigation with Learning-Based Perception
Anushri Dixit
Zhiting Mei
Meghan Booker
Mariko Storey-Matsutani
Mariko Storey-Matsutani
Allen Z. Ren
Ola Shorinwa
Anirudha Majumdar
29
5
0
13 Mar 2024
Confidence on the Focal: Conformal Prediction with Selection-Conditional Coverage
Confidence on the Focal: Conformal Prediction with Selection-Conditional Coverage
Ying Jin
Zhimei Ren
30
7
0
06 Mar 2024
Conformal Predictive Programming for Chance Constrained Optimization
Conformal Predictive Programming for Chance Constrained Optimization
Yiqi Zhao
Xinyi Yu
Matteo Sesia
Lars Lindemann
Lars Lindemann
37
3
0
12 Feb 2024
General-purpose foundation models for increased autonomy in
  robot-assisted surgery
General-purpose foundation models for increased autonomy in robot-assisted surgery
Samuel Schmidgall
Ji Woong Kim
Alan Kuntz
A. Ghazi
Axel Krieger
MedIm
36
8
0
01 Jan 2024
Prompt Risk Control: A Rigorous Framework for Responsible Deployment of
  Large Language Models
Prompt Risk Control: A Rigorous Framework for Responsible Deployment of Large Language Models
Thomas P. Zollo
Todd Morrill
Zhun Deng
Jake C. Snell
T. Pitassi
Richard Zemel
25
8
0
22 Nov 2023
Conformal Contextual Robust Optimization
Conformal Contextual Robust Optimization
Yash P. Patel
Sahana Rayan
Ambuj Tewari
27
15
0
16 Oct 2023
Conformal Prediction for Deep Classifier via Label Ranking
Conformal Prediction for Deep Classifier via Label Ranking
Jianguo Huang
Huajun Xi
Linjun Zhang
Huaxiu Yao
Yue Qiu
Hongxin Wei
28
21
0
10 Oct 2023
Conformal Decision Theory: Safe Autonomous Decisions from Imperfect
  Predictions
Conformal Decision Theory: Safe Autonomous Decisions from Imperfect Predictions
Jordan Lekeufack
Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos
Andrea V. Bajcsy
Michael I. Jordan
Jitendra Malik
OffRL
26
28
0
09 Oct 2023
Conformal prediction under ambiguous ground truth
Conformal prediction under ambiguous ground truth
David Stutz
Abhijit Guha Roy
Tatiana Matejovicova
Patricia Strachan
A. Cemgil
Arnaud Doucet
22
15
0
18 Jul 2023
Inference-time Stochastic Ranking with Risk Control
Inference-time Stochastic Ranking with Risk Control
Ruocheng Guo
Jean-François Ton
Yang Liu
Hang Li
30
2
0
12 Jun 2023
Stratification of uncertainties recalibrated by isotonic regression and
  its impact on calibration error statistics
Stratification of uncertainties recalibrated by isotonic regression and its impact on calibration error statistics
P. Pernot
11
4
0
08 Jun 2023
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